Credit: Inside the MagicIt appears that Mother Nature would like to come to Disney World to celebrate the nation’s birth this year, and Disney guests won’t enjoy it. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a low-pressure system stalled just off Florida’s east coast, bringing massive amounts of rain to Central Florida over the next three days.
There is even more bad news for Disney World guests. The National Hurricane Center has increased the possibility that this low-pressure system could develop into a tropical storm or hurricane in the next two days. If it develops over Florida, it could bring even more rain and severe weather to the Sunshine State into early next week.
The National Hurricane Center said:
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form in this region over the weekend while the system drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday.
7/3 6 am | A weak area of low pressure is forecast to develop near the southeast Atlantic coast this weekend and has a medium chance (50%) of becoming a subtropical or tropical depression as it drifts north and northeastward. #FLwx pic.twitter.com/YGgDhGDWOZ
— NWS Melbourne (@NWSMelbourne) July 3, 2025
This updated forecast contains some good news. Earlier in the week, the National Hurricane Center was unsure if the storm would develop over Florida’s east coast or the Gulf of Mexico, potentially impacting Florida with its first hurricane or tropical storm of the season. With this updated forecast, the storm will not develop until it is over the state or off its east coast, missing Florida entirely.
However, with the low-pressure system stalled over Florida, Disney World can expect up to three inches of rain in the next 48 hours, potentially causing Magic Kingdom and EPCOT to cancel their Fourth of July fireworks celebration.
It is unusual for a named storm to hit Central Florida this early in the season, but it has happened in the past. Hurricane Alma hit the state on June 9, 1966.
Hurricane season runs from June 1-November 30. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasts 13 to 19 named storms this year, with three to five storms turning into Category 3 or higher.
Get your poncho out; it will be a wet couple of days at Disney World, but maybe that will help keep the crowds down a little.
What’s your favorite hack at Disney World when it rains? Let us know in the comments.